Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 8.086904 9.372138 10.755422 12.350174 14.133062 16.059939 18.294842
2025-12-21 6.264735 7.968691 9.939145 12.367749 15.260834 18.576719 22.643118
2025-12-28 5.320791 7.265160 9.637942 12.708558 16.535546 21.104660 26.924626
2026-01-04 4.607046 6.688846 9.348947 12.934864 17.573101 23.296345 30.809544
2026-01-11 3.992626 6.134849 8.989537 12.981239 18.316113 25.090174 34.215788
2026-01-18 3.364094 5.468446 8.390731 12.623988 18.460581 26.073571 36.578358
2026-01-25 2.874704 4.931170 7.900442 12.345506 18.651514 27.079355 38.961155
2026-02-01 2.456621 4.443389 7.423092 12.026783 18.736747 27.911108 41.105767
2026-02-08 2.111202 4.022603 6.997028 11.733496 18.815577 28.707175 43.198544
2026-02-15 1.801617 3.618762 6.553155 11.367565 18.748039 29.270870 44.962371
2026-02-22 1.628037 3.423047 6.415171 11.449944 19.331014 30.760998 48.055267
2026-03-01 1.468655 3.231616 6.263695 11.492814 19.844447 32.156152 51.043949
2026-03-08 1.337935 3.079138 6.166796 11.619910 20.498595 33.791604 54.452675
2026-03-15 1.203849 2.902710 6.011519 11.636287 20.973660 35.171404 57.526366
2026-03-22 1.129948 2.835599 6.041361 11.960570 21.946663 37.326432 61.801960
2026-03-29 1.048031 2.741045 6.011476 12.175952 22.746348 39.235938 65.757587
2026-04-05 0.952596 2.604648 5.890474 12.220093 23.259732 40.711980 69.091347
2026-04-12 0.823436 2.374653 5.568611 11.880091 23.107607 41.131289 70.810635
2026-04-19 0.717986 2.182157 5.300337 11.615116 23.061936 41.706367 72.773073
2026-04-26 0.621563 1.995167 5.023762 11.311919 22.928440 42.125655 74.491390
2026-05-03 0.538930 1.828135 4.770902 11.032984 22.817479 42.568249 76.246810
2026-05-10 0.460943 1.658612 4.494269 10.685052 22.560084 42.751606 77.581671
2026-05-17 0.422639 1.590977 4.434754 10.763370 23.075966 44.235041 81.044487